TinyCorp Signal

Exploratory tools for prediction markets.

We make the tools. You make the calls.

Picks and shovels for the prediction-market era — live data, calibration history, and market context across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Manifold. Built by a quant for explorers who want to look closer, not be told where to dig.

4 platforms tracked · 412 resolved forecasts on record · 90d Brier 0.082 · LIVE
Live calibration
Our 87%-confidence forecasts have hit 89% of the time.
Bucketed across n = 412 resolved forecasts — last 90 days, all categories. See full curve →
Brier
0.082
Log loss
0.31
Cal. error
±2.1%

LIVE Market pulse · last 24h

38 markets · 12 close < 24h
Ticker Impl. prob 24h vol Closes in Grade
KXHIGHTATL-26MAY19-B85.5 0.82 $4.2k 3h 12m A+
KXLOWTBOS-26MAY19-T58 0.79 $2.8k 11h 04m A
KXHIGHTDCA-26MAY19-B78.5 0.71 $1.9k 5h 41m A
KXLOWTDEN-26MAY19-T43 0.66 $3.1k 7h 18m A
KXHIGHTPHX-26MAY19-B103.5 0.94 $5.6k 2h 49m A+
Updated 14s ago View all in /hot →
Pro

What’s behind Pro.

Pro removes the lag, adds alerts and the deeper tools, and supports the work. We make money on subscriptions — not on revshare, not on your data.

See full pricing

Free

$0 forever

  • What’s hot — 15-min delayed feed
  • Calibration scoreboard — full resolution
  • Weather forecast preview
  • 3 saved presets · 5 favorites
  • Daily AI Brief preview
Browse free

Pro · launch offer

$19.95 /mo · or $110/yr first year

  • Realtime data — no 15-min lag
  • Whale Watcher · Quality Grade Feed · Mode-5
  • Daily AI Brief, full text
  • SMS + email alerts · up to 20 active
  • Unlimited presets · favorites · API key
See Pro pricing